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Archive for September, 2009

Breakfast Dialogue with Harris Thajeb, CEO of Dentsu @ The Financial Club

Posted by admin On September - 30 - 2009 ADD COMMENTS

FC Breakfast

How GE Is Disrupting Itself

Posted by admin On September - 30 - 2009 ADD COMMENTS

GEIn May 2009, General Electric announced that over the next six years it would spend $3 billion to create at least 100 health-care innovations that would substantially lower costs, increase access, and improve quality. Two products it highlighted at the time—a $1,000 handheld electrocardiogram device and a portable, PC-based ultrasound machine that sells for as little as $15,000—are revolutionary, and not just because of their small size and low price. They’re also extraordinary because they originally were developed for markets in emerging economies (the ECG device for rural India and the ultrasound machine for rural China) and are now being sold in the United States, where they’re pioneering new uses for such machines.

We call the process used to develop the two machines and take them global reverse innovation, because it’s the opposite of the glocalization approach that many industrial-goods manufacturers based in rich countries have employed for decades. With glocalization, companies develop great products at home and then distribute them worldwide, with some adaptations to local conditions. It allows multinationals to make the optimal trade-off between the global scale so crucial to minimizing costs and the local customization required to maximize market share. Glocalization worked fine in an era when rich countries accounted for the vast majority of the market and other countries didn’t offer much opportunity. But those days are over—thanks to the rapid development of populous countries like China and India and the slowing growth of wealthy nations.

GE badly needs innovations like the low-cost ECG and ultrasound machines, not only to expand beyond high-end segments in places like China and India but also to preempt local companies in those countries—the emerging giants—from creating similar products and then using them to disrupt GE in rich countries. To put it bluntly: If GE’s businesses are to survive and prosper in the next decade, they must become as adept at reverse innovation as they are at glocalization. Success in developing countries is a prerequisite for continued vitality in developed ones.

The problem is that there are deep conflicts between glocalization and reverse innovation. And the company can’t simply replace the first with the second, because glocalization will continue to dominate strategy for the foreseeable future. The two models need to do more than coexist; they need to cooperate. This is a heck of a lot easier said than done since the centralized, product-focused structures and practices that have made multinationals so successful at glocalization actually get in the way of reverse innovation, which requires a decentralized, local-market focus.

Almost all the people and resources dedicated to reverse innovation efforts must be based and managed in the local market. These local growth teams need to have P&L responsibility; the power to decide which products to develop for their markets and how to make, sell, and service them; and the right to draw from the company’s global resources. Once products have proven themselves in emerging markets, they must be taken global, which may involve pioneering radically new applications, establishing lower price points, and even using the innovations to cannibalize higher-margin products in rich countries. All of those approaches are antithetical to the glocalization model. This article aims to share what GE has learned in trying to overcome that conflict.

Why Reverse Innovation Is So Important

Glocalization is so dominant today because it has delivered. Largely because of glocalization, GE’s revenues outside the United States soared from $4.8 billion, or 19% of total revenues, in 1980, to $97 billion, or more than half of the total, in 2008.

The model came to prominence when opportunities in today’s emerging markets were pretty limited—when their economies had yet to take off and their middle or low-end customer segments didn’t exist. Therefore, it made sense for multinational manufacturers to simply offer them modifications of products for developed countries. Initially, GE, like other multinationals, was satisfied with the 15% to 20% growth rates its businesses enjoyed in developing countries, thanks to glocalization.

Then in September 2001 one of the coauthors of this piece, Jeff Immelt, who had just become GE’s CEO, set a goal: to greatly accelerate organic growth at the company and become less dependent on acquisitions. This made people question many things that had been taken for granted, including the glocalization strategy, which limited the company to skimming the top of emerging markets. A rigorous analysis of GE’s health-care, power-generation, and power-distribution businesses showed that if they took full advantage of opportunities that glocalization had ignored in heavily populated places like China and India, they could grow two to three times faster there. But to do that, they’d have to develop innovative new products that met the specific needs and budgets of customers in those markets. That realization, in turn, led GE executives to question two core tenets of glocalization:

Assumption 1: Emerging economies will largely evolve in the same way that wealthy economies did.

The reality is, developing countries aren’t following the same path and could actually jump ahead of developed countries because of their greater willingness to adopt breakthrough innovations. With far smaller per capita incomes, developing countries are more than happy with high-tech solutions that deliver decent performance at an ultralow cost—a 50% solution at a 15% price. And they lack many of the legacy infrastructures of the developed world, which were built when conditions were very different. They need communications, energy, and transportation products that address today’s challenges and opportunities, such as unpredictable oil prices and ubiquitous wireless technologies. Finally, because of their huge populations, sustainability problems are especially urgent for countries like China and India. Because of this, they’re likely to tackle many environmental issues years or even decades before the developed world.

All this isn’t theory. It’s already happening. Emerging markets are becoming centers of innovation in fields like low-cost health-care devices, carbon sequestration, solar and wind power, biofuels, distributed power generation, batteries, water desalination, microfinance, electric cars, and even ultra-low-cost homes.

Assumption 2: Products that address developing countries’ special needs can’t be sold in developed countries because they’re not good enough to compete there.

The reality here is, these products can create brand-new markets in the developed world—by establishing dramatically lower price points or pioneering new applications.

Consider GE’s health-care business in the United States. It used to make most of its money on premiumcomputed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance (MR) imaging machines. But to succeed in the era of broader access and reduced reimbursement that President Obama hopes to bring about, the business will probably need to increase by 50% the number of products it offers at lower price points. And that doesn’t mean just cheaper versions of high-tech products like imaging machines. The company also must create more offerings like the heated bassinet it developed for India, which has great potential in U.S. inner cities, where infant deaths related to the cold remain high.

And let’s not forget that technology often can be improved until it satisfies more demanding customers. The compact ultrasound, which can now handle imaging applications that previously required a conventional machine, is one example. (See “ Reverse Innovation in Practice.”) Another is an aircraft engine that GE acquired when it bought a Czech aerospace company for $20 million. GE invested an additional $25 million to further develop the engine’s technology and now plans to use it to challenge Pratt & Whitney’s dominance of the small turboprop market in developed countries. GE’s cost position is probably half of what Pratt’s is.

Reverse Innovation in Practice (Located at the end of this article)

Preempting the Emerging Giants

Before the financial crisis plunged the world into a deep recession, GE’s leaders had been looking to emerging markets to help achieve their ambitious growth objectives. Now they’re counting on these markets even more because they think that after the downturn ends, the developed world will suffer a prolonged period of slow growth—1% to 3% a year. In contrast, annual growth in emerging markets could easily reach two to three times that rate.

Ten years ago when GE senior managers discussed the global marketplace, they talked about “the U.S., Europe, Japan, and the rest of the world.” Now they talk about “resource-rich regions,” such as the Middle East, Brazil, Canada, Australia, and Russia, and “people-rich regions,” such as China and India. The “rest of world” means the U.S., Europe, and Japan.

To be honest, the company also is embracing reverse innovation for defensive reasons. If GE doesn’t come up with innovations in poor countries and take them global, new competitors from the developing world—like Mindray, Suzlon, Goldwind, and Haier—will.

In GE’s markets the Chinese will be bigger players than the Indians will. The Chinese have a real plan to become a major global force in transportation and power generation. GE Power Generation is already regularly running into Chinese enterprises as it competes in Africa, which will be an extremely important region for the company. One day those enterprises may compete with GE in its own backyard.

That’s a bracing prospect. GE has tremendous respect for traditional rivals like Siemens, Philips, and Rolls-Royce. But it knows how to compete with them; they will never destroy GE. By introducing products that create a new price-performance paradigm, however, the emerging giants very well could. Reverse innovation isn’t optional; it’s oxygen.

A Clash of Two Models

Glocalization has defined international strategy for three decades. All the currently dominant ideas—from Christopher A. Bartlett and Sumantra Ghoshal’s “transnational” strategy to Pankaj Ghemawat’s “adaptation-aggregation” trade-off—fit within the glocalization framework. Since organization follows strategy, it’s hardly surprising that glocalization also has molded the way that multinationals are structured and run.

GE is a case in point. For the past 30 years, its organization has evolved to maximize its effectiveness at glocalization. Power and P&L responsibility were concentrated in global business units headquartered in the developed world. The major business functions—including R&D, manufacturing, and marketing—were centralized at headquarters. While some R&D centers and manufacturing operations were moved abroad to tap overseas talent and reduce costs, they focused mainly on products for wealthy countries.

While this approach has enormous advantages, it makes reverse innovation impossible. The experiences of Venkatraman Raja, the head of GE Healthcare’s business in India, illustrate why.

GE Healthcare sells an x-ray imaging product called a surgical C-arm, which is used in basic surgeries. A high-quality, high-priced product designed for hospitals in wealthy countries, it has proven tough to sell in India. Raja saw the problem and made a proposal in 2005. He wanted to develop, manufacture, and sell a simpler, easier-to-use, and substantially cheaper product in India. His proposal made sense, and yet, to no one’s surprise, it was not approved.

If you were a leader of a GE operation in a developing country, as Raja was, here’s what you were up against: Your formal responsibilities included neither general management nor product development. Your responsibility was to sell, distribute, and service GE’s global products locally and provide insights into customers’ needs to help the company adapt its offerings. You were expected to grow revenues by 15% to 20% a year and make sure that costs increased at a much slower rate, so that margins rose. You were held rigidly accountable for delivering on plan. Just finding the time for an extracurricular activity like creating a proposal for a product tailored to the local market was challenging.

That was nothing, however, compared with the challenge of the next step: selling your proposal internally. Doing so required getting the attention of the general manager at headquarters in the United States, who sat two or more levels above your immediate boss and was far more familiar with a world-renowned medical center in Boston than a rural clinic outside Bangalore. Even if you got the meeting, you’d have limited time to make your case. (India accounted for just 1% of GE’s revenues at the time and occupied roughly the same mindshare of managers with global responsibility.)

If you were extremely persuasive, you might be invited to share the proposal with others. But when you visited the head of global manufacturing, you’d have to counter arguments that a simple, streamlined global product line was much more efficient than custom offerings. When you visited the head of marketing, you’d have to deal with fears that a lower-priced product would weaken the GE brand and cannibalize existing sales. When you met with the head of finance, you’d have to wrestle with concerns that lower-priced products would drag down overall margins. And when you visited the head of global R&D, you’d have to explain why the energies of GE’s scientists and engineers—including those in technology centers in emerging markets—should be diverted from projects directed at its most sophisticated customers, who paid top dollar.

Even if you gained support from each of these executives and got the proposal off the ground, you’d still have to compete for capital year after year against more certain projects with shorter-term payoffs. Meanwhile, of course, you’d still have to worry about making your quarterly numbers for your day job.

It was little wonder that successful efforts to develop radically new products for poor countries were extremely rare.

Shifting the Center of Gravity

Obviously, changing long-established structures, practices, and attitudes is an enormous task. As is the case in any major change program, the company’s top leaders have to play a major role.

To do so, they must investigate firsthand the size of the opportunity and how it could be exploited and encourage the teams running the corporation’s businesses to do the same. As GE’s CEO, Jeff goes to China and India two times a year. When he’s in, say, China, he’ll spend a day at GE’s research center in Shanghai and then meet separately with dozens of people in the company’s local business operations and just let them talk about what they’re working on, what their cost points are, who their competitors are, and so on. On such visits, he has realized that there’s a whole realm of technology that the company should be applying faster.

While in China, Jeff will also talk with government leaders, including Premier Wen Jiabao. Wen has told Jeff about his plans to develop China’s economy and how making health care affordable for all citizens fits into that. It takes a conversation like that to fully appreciate the opportunities in China.

In India, Jeff will have dinner with the CEOs of Indian companies. At one dinner Anand Mahindra talked about how his company, Mahindra & Mahindra, was making life miserable for John Deere in India with a tractor that cost half the price of Deere’s but was still enormously profitable. Such discussions drive home the point that you can make a lot of money in India if you have the right business models.

So the job of the CEO—of any senior business leader, for that matter—is to connect all the dots and then act as a catalyst. It’s to give initiatives special status and funding and personally monitor them on a monthly or quarterly basis. And perhaps most important in the case of reverse innovation, it’s to push your enterprise to come up with the new organizational form that will allow product and business-model innovation to flourish in emerging markets.

A Homegrown Model

To develop that new organizational form, GE did what it has always done: learn from other companies’ experiences but also try to find an internal group that somehow had managed to overcome the hurdles and achieve success. During their annual strategy review, the company’s leaders spotted one in the ultrasound unit of GE Healthcare.

GE Healthcare’s primary business is high-end medical-imaging equipment. By the late 1980s it had become clear that a new technology—ultrasound—had a bright future. Ultrasound machines, like the other imaging devices, were typically found in sophisticated imaging centers in hospitals. While they delivered lower quality than CT or MR scanners, they did so at much lower cost. The company aimed to be number one in ultrasound.

Over the next decade, GE Healthcare expanded its presence in the market. It built an R&D facility for developing new ultrasound products near its headquarters, in Milwaukee, and made acquisitions and entered into joint ventures around the world. It competed in all three of the primary market segments—obstetrics, cardiology, and general radiology—by launching premium products that employed cutting-edge technologies. By 2000, GE Healthcare had established solid market positions in rich countries around the world.

The results in developing countries, by contrast, were disappointing. By 2000, with the help of a joint venture partner in China, GE saw the problem: In wealthy countries performance mattered most, followed by features; in China price mattered most, followed by portability and ease of use.

The priorities weren’t the same because the health-care infrastructure of China was so different from that of rich countries. More than 90% of China’s population relied (and still relies) on poorly funded, low-tech hospitals or basic clinics in rural villages. These facilities had no sophisticated imaging centers, and transportation to urban hospitals was difficult, especially for the sick. Patients couldn’t come to the ultrasound machines; the ultrasound machines, therefore, had to go to the patients.

There was no way that GE could meet that need by simply scaling down, removing features from, or otherwise adapting its existing ultrasound machines, which were large, bulky, expensive, and complex. It needed a revolutionary product.

In 2002, the company launched its first compact ultrasound, which combined a regular laptop computer with sophisticated software. It sold for as low as $30,000. In late 2007, GE introduced a model that sold for as low as $15,000, less than 15% of the cost of GE’s high-end ultrasound machines. Of course, its performance was not as high, but it was nonetheless a hit in rural clinics, where doctors used it for simple applications, such as spotting enlarged livers and gallbladders and stomach irregularities. The software-centric design also made it easy to adjust the machine—for example, to improve the interfaces—after observing how doctors worked with it. Today the portable machine is the growth engine of GE’s ultrasound business in China.

Even more exciting, the innovation has generated dramatic growth in the developed world by pioneering new applications where portability is critical or space is constrained, such as at accident sites, where the compacts are used to diagnose problems like pericardial effusions (fluid around the heart); in emergency rooms, where they are employed to identify conditions such as ectopic pregnancies; and in operating rooms, where they aid anesthesiologists in placing needles and catheters.

Six years after their launch, portable ultrasounds were a $278 million global product line for GE, one that was growing at 50% to 60% a year before the worldwide recession hit. Someday every general practitioner may carry both a stethoscope and a compact ultrasound device embedded in his or her PDA.

The products owe their successful development to an organizational anomaly in GE: the existence of multiple ultrasound business units. Although the three primary segments of the ultrasound business are vastly different, GE’s initial instinct was to follow the glocalization model when it built the business—that is, to create a single integrated global organization. In 1995, however, Omar Ishrak, a newcomer who had been hired to lead the business, saw that meshing operations would reduce them to a common denominator that served nobody well. He decided to run the business as three independent business units with their own P&L responsibility, all reporting to him.

When the compact ultrasound effort began in China, Ishrak saw that the new business would have little in common with the three units, which were focused on premium products. So instead, he created a fourth independent unit, based in Wuxi, China. It evolved the local growth team (LGT) model, which is based on five critical principles.

1. Shift power to where the growth is.

Without autonomy, the LGTs will become pawns of the global business and won’t be able to focus on the problems of customers in emerging markets. Specifically, they need the power to develop their own strategies, organizations, and products. Ishrak understood this and gave such broad authority to Diana Tang and J.K. Koo, the leaders of GE’s ultrasound effort in China. The pair of GE veterans had deep experience in the ultrasound business, expertise in biomedical engineering and general management, and lengthy careers in Asia.

2. Build new offerings from the ground up.

Given the tremendous gulfs between rich countries and poor ones in income, infrastructure, and sustainability needs, reverse innovation must be zero-based. These wide differences cannot be spanned by adapting global products.

The compact ultrasound was built from scratch, although it drew heavily from an existing R&D effort. In the late 1990s, in a product-development center in Israel, GE had started to experiment with a revolutionary new architecture—one that shifted most of the muscle inside an ultrasound machine from the hardware to the software. Instead of a large box full of custom hardware, the scientists and engineers involved in the project envisioned a standard high-performance PC, special peripherals such as an ultrasound probe, and sophisticated software.

The concept generated little excitement in GE Healthcare at the time because it could not come close to matching the performance of the business’s premium products. But Ishrak quickly saw the value of the new architecture in developing countries. He encouraged the team in China to pursue the concept further. The resulting compact ultrasound based on a laptop computer hit the mark in China.

3. Build LGTs from the ground up, like new companies.

Zero-based innovation doesn’t happen without zero-based organizational design. GE’s organizational “software”—its hiring practices, reporting structures, titles, job descriptions, norms for working relationships, and power balances between functions—all evolved to support glocalization. LGTs need to rewrite the software.

Tang and Koo constructed a business unit that managed a complete value chain: product development, sourcing, manufacturing, marketing, sales, and service. By recruiting locally, they were able to find most of the expertise they needed—including engineers with deep knowledge of miniaturization and low-power consumption and a commercialization team well versed in health care in rural China.

The LGT also decided that dealers—rather than the direct sales force used by the premium ultrasound units—were the only cost-effective way to reach China’s vast and fragmented rural markets and third-tier cities. And instead of relying on GE Healthcare’s global customer-support and replacement-parts organizations, it built in-country teams that could provide quicker and less costly service.

4. Customize objectives, targets, and metrics.

Innovation endeavors are, by nature, uncertain. It’s more important to learn quickly by efficiently testing assumptions than to hit the numbers. So the relevant metrics and standards for LGTs—the ones that resolve the critical unknowns—are rarely the same as those used by the established businesses.

The ultrasound LGT knew that doctors in rural China were less familiar with ultrasounds than doctors in cities. But the team didn’t know how much experience rural doctors had with the technology or what features would meet their needs. So it set out to learn how doctors reacted to the machines and what the obstacles to their adoption were. The team discovered that ease of use, especially in primary-care screenings, where doctors test for common local conditions, was even more crucial than anticipated. In response, the new business emphasized training, offered online guides, designed simpler keyboards, created built-in presets for certain tasks, and tracked customer satisfaction to gauge success.

Ishrak was careful to use different criteria to evaluate the performance of the LGT in China. For example, because the government approval process for new product releases is less intricate in China, he set much shorter product-development cycles than were common in wealthy countries. He also agreed to allow the size of the local service organization to deviate from the GE Healthcare’s global standards. Since salaries are lower and service is more demanding in China, a bigger staff relative to the number of installed machines made sense.

5. Have the LGT report to someone high in the organization.

LGTs cannot thrive without strong support from the top. The executive overseeing the LGT has three critical roles: mediating conflicts between the team and the global business, connecting the team to resources such as global R&D centers, and helping take the innovations that the team develops into rich countries. Only a senior executive in the global business unit, or even its leader, can accomplish all of that.

Even when it was tiny, the LGT in China reported directly to Ishrak. Because GE Healthcare had an ambitious product-development agenda for rich countries when the compact project was launched, the LGT’s engineers might easily have been redirected to other projects if Ishrak hadn’t shielded the team. He protected and even expanded the team’s resources. By 2007 its number of engineers had grown from 13 to 70 and its total payroll had increased from 132 to 339. Ishrak also personally made sure that the team got the expertise it needed from other parts of GE, such as three highly respected development engineers from Israel, Japan, and South Korea. They worked full-time on the project and got it extra support from GE’s R&D centers around the world.

Ishrak included the China LGT in the company’s Ultrasound Council, a group of ultrasound executives and market and technology experts who meet for two days three times a year. At the meeting they share knowledge and insights and agree on which major projects to pursue. The council was instrumental in moving knowledge and technology into China.

Finally, Ishrak played a critical role in building a global market for the portable ultrasound. He identified potential new applications in the developed world and saw to it that the three units that sold the premium products aggressively pursued those opportunities.

• • •

GE now has more than a dozen local growth teams in China and India. In the midst of a severe global recession, GE’s businesses in China will grow 25% this year—largely because of LGTs. It’s way too early to declare victory, however. Progress has been uneven. While some businesses—notably, health care and power generation and distribution—have taken the ball and run with it, others have been less enthusiastic. And though GE’s R&D centers in China and India have increased their focus on the problems of developing countries, the vast majority of their resources are still devoted to initiatives for developed ones. So there is still a long way to go.

It’s still necessary for the company’s top executives to monitor and protect local efforts and make sure they get resources. It’s still necessary to experiment with people transfers, organizational structures, and processes to see what works. The biggest experiment is about to come: To speed progress in India, GE is creating a separate P&L that will include all GE businesses in that country and giving the new unit considerable power to tap GE’s global R&D resources. It will be headed by a senior vice president who will report to a vice chairman. That’s anathema in a company used to a matrix in which product comes first and country second. Nonetheless, the company is going to try it and see if it can create new markets. GE has to learn how to operate on a different axis.

The resistance to giving India its own P&L reflects what is perhaps GE’s biggest challenge: changing the mind-set of managers who’ve spent their careers excelling at glocalization. Even the exemplars have a rich-country bias. In a recent conversation with Jeff, one such manager—the head of a major business that’s doing well in India and China—still seemed preoccupied with problems beyond his control in the U.S. “I don’t even want to talk to you about your growth plans for the U.S.,” Jeff responded. “You’ve got to triple the size of your Indian business in the next three years. You’ve got to put more resources, more people, and more products in there, so you’re deep in that market and not just skimming the very top. Let’s figure out how to do it.” That’s how senior managers have to think.

By: by Jeffrey R. Immelt, Vijay Govindarajan, and Chris Trimble

Source: Harvard Business Review

Does the dollar have any enemies greater than its “defenders”?

Posted by admin On September - 30 - 2009 ADD COMMENTS

Bob Zoellick.(R)Source: Foreignpolicy.com

World Bank President Bob Zoellick has done an important service with remarks he delivered Monday in which he said, “The United States would be mistaken to take for granted the dollar’s place as the world’s predominant reserve currency. Looking forward, there will increasingly be other options.” In fact, the only issue I take with his statement, delivered at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, is that it does not go far enough.

It has thus far been easy for most Americans to shrug off discussions of coming competition for the dollar as a reserve currency. First, of course, most Americans aren’t even aware that the discussion is taking place and of those that are aware, most haven’t the slightest clue how the international monetary system works — which at least gives them something in common with most members of Congress and central bankers everywhere. (Zoellick is rightly pretty tough on the central banking community in his remarks, as well.)

Also, when Europeans or Russians starting talking about needing another currency so there is an alternative to the greenback, Americans tend to shrug it off as dollar-envy. It was not, of course, so easy to dismiss such suggestionswhen it came from the Chinese given their role as our principal creditor and the fact that they had more reserves than any other country in the history of mankind. But we put our hands over our ears and made “la, la” noises to drown out the discussion anyway.

Thus, whenever the issue arose, as it did again in discussions last week at the G-20 meeting, it has not had much resonance even among most members of the policy community in Washington. Many view the dollar as an immutable, unchanging fixture of the financial world … even though recent experience has demonstrated that other than greed, there are few immutable, unchanging features of the financial world. This made it easy for the U.S. Treasury to simplymouth reassurances – as Tim Geithner did last week — that the dollar should remain the reserve currency without getting much questioning here at home.

But Bob Zoellick is not a whacky, Gitane-smoking, eurocommunist with an anti-American agenda.

He is a Republican, a Bush appointee, one of only a couple of dozen senior current or former U.S. government officials who can say they worked at Goldman Sachs, the true power center of international finance. So when he says don’t take the dollar’s place for granted, perhaps others in Washington will listen and start to focus more on the increasing likelihood that the growing chorus of those seeking change may well gain traction and as may the alternative currencies themselves — be they Special Drawing Rights, the simulated money produced by the IMF for use with its members, or Chinese yuan.

Of course, Zoellick, whose remarks (which I read in “prepared for delivery” form) are typically thoughtful and also address the importance of the ascension of the G-20 and how this newly central group should take into consideration the broader rise of emerging economies, stops short of actually joining those calling for an alternative currency. It’s easy to understand why, given his position.

But since none of the rest of us are president of the World Bank, we should not feel so constrained. There are plenty of good reasons why there should be one or more better alternatives to the dollar as a reserve currency than currently exist. Further, by not taking the discussion seriously we are less likely to play an effective role in the discussion about the future architecture of the system, consigning ourselves to a more reactive, sideline role.

First, there is no reason why one country should be given the responsibility or the right to play such a central role in determining international economic policies and outcomes. This is unlikely to be very persuasive here at home where most Americans first reaction is going to be, “Why the heck not? If not us, who? Don’t we deserve it as the world’s number one economy?”

Given that the call for equity is not likely to be persuasive, what about basic American values like our belief in the benefits of competition. Look what has happened during this era in which we have not believed there was a real alternative to the dollar: We have behaved extraordinarily recklessly, piling on debt and practically taunting the world to find other options. It is clear, we don’t have the discipline to manage the dollar properly as it is. We need the competition as much as anyone else.

Would a rapid selloff of dollars be potentially disastrous for America?  Absolutely. But, we are deluding ourselves if we don’t think such alternatives already exist. Why is gold at such absurd heights and going higher? Further, there is plenty of evidence to suggest that oil and other commodities are regularly used as alternatives to currencies in what amount to forex trading strategies. In other words, markets demand such alternatives already. And any movement toward acceptance of new alternatives is likely to take a long time as investors cautiously adjust. So, we have to ask ourselves is the greater downside in embracing change or in clinging to a viewpoint that is both out of touch with emerging realities and promoting bad behaviors on our own part?

The international economic system will evolve with our cooperation or without it. Currently the biggest threat to the dollar is not those who seek alternatives but the U.S. policies that are pushing them in that direction.   It’s time we engaged in this debate in a serious way, and Zoellick’s remarks are a very constructive first step in that direction.

Win McNamee/Getty Images

David Rothkopf is the author of Superclass: The Global Power Elite and the World They are Making andRunning the World: The Inside Story of the National Security Council and the Architects of American Power. He is a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and President and CEO of Garten Rothkopf, a Washington, DC-based international advisory firm.

Lakshmi Mittal Takes the Pedal Off the Metal

Posted by admin On September - 29 - 2009 1 COMMENT

Laksmi MitalSource: WSJ.com

Lakshmi Mittal Takes the Pedal Off the Metal

By ROBERT GUY MATTHEWS

Lakshmi Mittal, head of the world’s largest steelmaker and one of the world’s richest men, has a new mantra: Slow and steady wins the race.

This from a man who created a steel giant by collecting mills around the planet and putting them under one umbrella. ArcelorMittal, which didn’t exist a decade ago, now accounts for 10% of global steel production.

Benjamin Thomas for The Wall Street Journal

That pedal-to-the-metal growth strategy worked until a year ago when the world’s economy took a dive. The company, based in Luxembourg, posted three consecutive quarterly losses, the latest at $792 million, and some analysts expect it to post another loss in the current quarter.

Still Mr. Mittal says it would have been far worse if the steelmaker didn’t shut mills, slash production about 35% and lay off thousands of workers.

From his Berkeley Square office in London, Mr. Mittal says that the worst is likely behind but that the growth trajectory the company had been on since the merger of Arcelor SA and Mittal Steel Co. in 2006 isn’t going to return anytime soon. An edited transcript follows:

WSJ: What did you do right in the past year during the economic downturn?

Mr. Mittal: We reduced our fixed costs by $10 billion, which is about 30% to 35% of our total fixed costs, in a period of nine months. The crisis was a shock to everyone. Everyone was hoping in one or two quarters everything would get better.

Immediately, ArcelorMittal took a lot of steps. We announced production cuts. We reduced our inventories. We reduced our costs.

In September, when we had our investor day, we had production cuts and we immediately shut down production in Europe and the U.S. We restricted receiving raw materials from all the vendors. We immediately started looking at the organization and technically laying off a lot of people in different units. There were shorter working hours.

WSJ: What would you do differently? What did you do wrong?

Mr. Mittal: After the merger, ArcelorMittal was focused on a growth strategy. We built a company, 420 million tons [of steel-production capacity] and we were hoping to build it 450 million tons in the following five years. We were focusing growth in emerging markets, Brazil, India, China. That was the right strategy but we should have slowed it down.

WSJ: What are you doing now in terms of managing ArcelorMittal going forward?

Mr. Mittal: We will work on our mining projects — Liberia, Senegal — and we will continue to expand in the mining sector. We halted some of these projects during the crisis period.

On the steel sector, we will start looking at Brazil and India and [Commonwealth of Independent States] countries.

We will be much more selective and now we have to take a slightly different view. So instead of finishing a project in 2011-2012, we will finish in 2014.

Demand has clearly gone down. We have seen a 35% drop in developed markets over 2008. We have seen a 10% drop in developing markets excluding China.

WSJ: Do you see upturn or downturn in the next few years and how are you navigating?

Mr. Mittal: Growth will be a slow, progressive recovery. Maybe by 2012, we could come back to the pre-crisis level.

Growth will only come from emerging markets. That is where we will focus.

We have to become more flexible to the changes in the economy.

The question that we will have to address is how to make the industry in the Europe and the U.S. competitive and whether they could survive in the next 30 years going forward. The answer lies in making Western plants more productive and reducing their costs.

Productivity in the emerging markets is also going up. If we look at some of the plants in China and some of the plants in India, they are catching up really fast in terms of productivity. We have to work with the unions to ensure that they understand what is competition and productivity in the emerging markets.

WSJ: How do you get that message across without alienating your Western work force?

Mr. Mittal: They should visit these facilities in growth markets and see how they are catching up. China is willing to embrace any technology available. We have to make them understand where the world is leading.

WSJ: What signs are you seeing now that point to the slow, progressive recovery?

Mr. Mittal: Steel production was cut by 35% to 50% world-wide, below actual demand for steel. Customers are now restocking. This is why ArcleorMittal has announced the start-up of its blast furnaces. Our customers are now demanding more steel.

Write to Robert Guy Matthews at robertguy.matthews@wsj.com

Media: Avian E Tumengkol

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Avian Tumengkol (revised)BRIEF PROFILE OF AVIAN E TUMENGKOL

US Department of State named Avian Tumengkol as the first Indonesia newsman to enter the Guantanamo Detainee Facility in Cuba during a 2005 special reporting tour represented by foreign media representatives based in the US. Avian reported from the military prison as White House Correspondent for Waspada Daily, Indonesia’s national newspaper headquarted in Medan, North Sumatra.

During his tour-of-duty in Washington DC, Avian covered US international relations from the White House and Pentagon from 2005-2006, during the Bush Jr administration. During this period, Avian was the only Indonesia newsman in the White House and State Department Foreign Press Corps.

Prior to his return to Medan, he joined The Jakarta Post as deputy editor for world affairs where he was also part of the presidential press corps, assigned to both the president and vice president foreign state trips. Avian’s specialization in US foreign affairs gave him the capacity to regularly write about bilateral issues of the two nations.

Avian then return to Waspada Daily in 2007 as editor-at-large mainly covering both domestic and foreign politics before accepting the position of deputy chief executive officer and editor-in-chief of the newspaper’s online division – Waspada Online,  in January 2008. He successfully led Waspada Online from being number 4 ranked online media outside of Jawa to number one, and currently the most influential in the North Sumatra and Aceh regions.

This finalist of the Australian Alumni Best Journalist in 2008 started his career in 1986 as a photojournalist with Waspada Daily and went on as foreign correspondent in Melbourne, Australia. Prior to that, Avian worked as press officer at the Indonesia Embassy in Washington DC, USA. Avian has interviewed a number of foreign high dignitaries including former UN secretary-general Koffi Annan, US state secretary Condoleeza Rice, World Bank president Paul Wolfowitz, and several ministers from foreign countries.

China faces ‘big’ uncertainties, says World Bank chief

Posted by admin On September - 29 - 2009 ADD COMMENTS

Robert ZoelickSource: Channelnewsasia.com

WASHINGTON: China faces major uncertainties even though it rebounded strongly from the latest financial crisis aided by its huge treasure chest, World Bank President Robert Zoellick said on Monday.

“China’s future is not yet determined,” he said even though the Asian giant effectively pump primed its huge economy and used various monetary polices to weather the crisis that plunged the world into recession.

Noting that China’s rapid recovery was fuelled by an expansion of credit, he said “this flood is now easing, and authorities are likely to limit it further for fear of effects on asset prices, asset quality, and eventually general inflation.”

Credit expanded at a red hot pace of 26 percent of China’s gross domestic product (GDP) in the first eight months of 2009 and last month, the stock market slumped partly due to concerns that banks had been ordered to rein in aggressive lending.

“China still faces big uncertainties in 2010,” Zoellick told a Washington forum of the Johns Hopkins University.

He said Chinese leaders recognised the risks of the continued dependence of China and other emerging economies on export-led growth.

“It will not be easy for China to shift to increasing reliance on domestic demand, especially to greater consumption that could help balance world growth while contributing to China’s goal of a more ‘harmonious society,’” he said.

Zoellick cited China’s protected service sector, including financial services, saying it “limits opportunities for entrepreneurs and increases in productivity.”

But he pointed out that China’s rapid recovery, on the back of more than two trillion dollars of reserves — the world’s largest — had assisted other nations, underscoring its growing influence.

China also holds more than 800 billion dollars in US Treasury bond investments.

The country’s leaders have expressed concern over the status of the dollar as a key reserve currency as the greenback weakened on mostly ballooning deficits and debt.

Zoellick said China was moving towards gradual internationalisation of its yuan currency by making it easier for trading partners to do business in it, for example, through currency swaps.

“We are likely to see this shift in the world of investment as well: for the first time this month, China issued sovereign bonds in Renminbi (yuan) to offshore investors,” he said.

China on Monday launched the sale of six billion yuan (879 million dollars) in government bonds in Hong Kong, the Chinese finance ministry said, marking the first such offer outside the mainland.

China also recently announced that foreign companies will be able to list their stocks in China, a step toward making Shanghai an international financial centre.

“As a major importer of commodities, one can imagine new benchmark indices established at Shanghai or other Chinese ports, eventually in Renminbi,” he said.

But Zoellick felt Chinese leaders would be “cautious” as most of them want to retain the control that came from a closed capital account.

“Financial and banking markets are likely to continue to be subject to various tools of intervention and control,” he said.

“Yet I expect China will be inevitably drawn outward. Over 10 to 20 years, the Renminbi will evolve into a force in financial markets.” – AFP/de

Iridium Acquired

Posted by admin On September - 29 - 2009 1 COMMENT

Iridium Acquired

iridium_cornerLogo

World Technology Report

Dr Lawrence Wasserman

September 28, Iridium Holdings LLC was acquired by GHL Acquisition Corp which makes Iridium a NASDAQ listed company.

The transaction values Iridium at approximately $591 million enterprise value. Following completion, the combined enterprise will be renamed ‘Iridium Communications Inc’ and will apply for listing on the NASDAQ. This will be subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions. Iridium’s existing management team will continue to lead the combined company.

“Not only will this transaction permit us to have a strong balance sheet and potential future funding from GHL Acquisition’s future warrant proceeds, but it will also provide us access to Greenhill’s expertise and network of relationships as we develop Iridium into the future. This transaction positions us well to meet and exceed the needs and expectations of our customers, suppliers, employees and stockholders.”

Why important?

For those seeking or using Satellite communications, Iridium is the only provider of truly global satellite voice and data communications solutions with complete coverage of the entire Earth including oceans, airways and even Polar Regions. Iridium delivers reliable, secure, real-time, mission-critical communications services to and from areas where landlines and terrestrial-based wireless services are either unavailable or unreliable.

Indonesia with its vast geographic size and inaccessible areas for voice and data tracking, Iridium products and services can serve the nations need for satellite phones in areas of emergency and where communications is critical for real time. In maritime sector tracking of ships is required by maritime organizations and now with satellites access to Internet, voice and data is a requirement by all parties.

Author: Fortech International serves as service provider for satellite communications products and the tracking of aviation, maritime and land vehicles.

BACKGROUND:

Iridium’s constellation consists of 66 low-earth orbiting (LEO), cross-linked satellites operating as a fully meshed network and supported by multiple in-orbit spares. It is the largest commercial satellite constellation in the world.

The Iridium service is ideally suited for industries such as maritime, aviation, government/military, emergency/humanitarian services, mining, forestry, oil and gas, heavy equipment, transportation and utilities. For example, tens of thousands of aircraft are currently equipped with Iridium-based systems and nearly half of the traffic on the Iridium network comes from international waters. Iridium provides service to subscribers from the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), as well as other civil and government agencies around the world. The company also designs, builds and sells its products, solutions and services through a worldwide network of hundreds of partners.

The company supplies both voice and data connections. Voice services are provided via dedicated handsets, or through a variety of installed communications systems onboard ships, aircraft and land-based vehicles. Increasingly incorporated into hundreds of applications, Iridium’s 9601 short burst data (SBD) transceiver provides packet data connections to every corner of the Earth, transferring location information, weather reports, email, or any other data requiring a reliable, global, two-way connection. Iridium’s most rapidly expanding business segment is the machine-to-machine sector, in which the Iridium constellation provides mobile data links for asset tracking and other monitoring applications.

Iridium is also planning for the future sustainability of its constellation, making major investments in network enhancements and launching the Iridium NEXT initiative, its next generation satellite constellation, which will be fully operational by 2016.

Source: Iridium home page www.iridium.com

Microsoft stages a big comeback

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microsoftSource: CNN.com

A close look at a tech giant that is trying to reinvent itself.

By Joe Light, Money magazine staff writer

(Money Magazine) — From the mid-1980s to 1999, a period that marked the rise of the PC, Microsoft made a lot of people rich: Its shares soared 59% a year.

But ever since the Internet became a legitimate force, the software giant has struggled to adapt to an increasingly web-based computing world — and its stock price has gone nowhere.

Can Microsoft thrive and find new sources of growth in a post-PC world, where its flagship software products become less dominant?

In need of a big upgrade

You can’t overestimate the importance of the October launch of Windows 7, the latest version of the operating system that accounts for 25% of Microsoft’s revenue. Customers were so unimpressed with the last upgrade, Vista, that only 18% of computers run on it, says Net Applications. That anemic adoption rate since the 2007 release, combined with poor PC sales, cut Windows’ revenue 13% in the past 12 months.

Unlike Vista, Windows 7 has so far received positive reviews. That, plus a projected uptick in PC sales in 2010 as the economy improves, means Windows sales could pick up. But since this is a mature business the firm already leads in, it’s not likely to drive growth in the future.

Clouds are forming

Don’t expect Microsoft’s dominance in operating systems and applications software to keep leading to big profit margins, which are already down six points, to 25%, from 2005. The threat: cloud computing, in which applications run on the web.

“Look at Facebook,” says Morning-star analyst Toan Tran. “It doesn’t care what platform you’re running.” It can use Mac OS, Linux, or Google’s upcoming Chrome OS.

As a result, Tran says Windows revenue “has the potential to be a rounding error” in 10 years. He thinks the firm’s future is in Azure, Microsoft’s cloud service that lets developers create applications on Microsoft servers. But Amazon.com (AMZN,Fortune 500), Google (GOOGFortune 500), and others offer similar services.

Chasing Google

Microsoft (MSFTFortune 500) hopes to find growth in online advertising. A few months after launching its new search engine, Bing, its share of online searches has grown to 9% vs. Google’s 65%. But the goal isn’t to be No. 1, says Tom Forester of the Forester Value fund, which owns the stock.

“Even a 20% share would be huge, given how big online ads promise to be,” he says. They could exceed $30 billion by 2013, says the Yankee Group. And Forester thinks Microsoft could hit 15% to 20% in a couple of years.

Under a new deal, subject to government approval, Bing will power searches on Yahoo for a cut of revenue. “Bing should march toward profitability,” says Edward Jones’s Andy Miedler. “That’s the real test.”  

President Executive Club

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“The President Executive Club will serve as the center of community to which we all belong.  It will offer a refuge from the pace of life, facilities that are second to none, and the camaradirie and social interaction amongst members that can only benefit the community as a whole.” — Edward Lee, Chairman, Board of Governors President Executive Club.

President Executive Club (2)

Leadership: How To Stay Free And Creative As Your Company Grows

Posted by admin On September - 29 - 2009 ADD COMMENTS

Source: Forbes.com

Leadership

Ken Davenport 09.21.09, 4:00 PM ET

One of the greatest challenges entrepreneurs and business founders face is finding a way to keep up the creativity that started their company as the day-to-day grind of running it gets more and more cumbersome. How can you dream up and develop new products when you’re supervising 10, 20 or 100 employees? You have to pick health insurance plans, organize company retreats, hire information technology providers, fire IT providers and so on. I mean, think how many entrepreneurs started their businesses because they couldn’t wait to spend time looking for the right office-supply vendor.

My own start-up began like many: For the first year of my Broadway and off-Broadway production company, it was all just me, at my desk, in my apartment, with my yellow Labrador retriever. As the business expanded and moved out of my apartment, I quickly realized that to achieve my personal goals and career objectives, I’d have to make some changes. I’d have to alter the way my business operated to make sure I had the time to work up new projects, which was how I had gotten started in the first place. Creative energy was what fueled the business, and if I wasn’t gassing up the fire, I knew we’d stall before we got to where I wanted us to go. Thankfully, we survived. We’re about to celebrate our fifth anniversary.

Here are five things I did to get myself back to the part of the business I love:

1. Have a closed-door policy. Having an “open-door policy” was a 1990s buzz phrase for demonstrating to your employees how accessible you were. In 2009, you don’t have to have an actual open door to be accessible, so keep it closed. A lot of entrepreneurs can be micromanagers; keeping the physical door to your office shut trains your employees to solve their own problems before coming to you for advice and questions, and it trains you to stay out of the little things that will probably drive you crazy anyway. (You don’t need to be involved in picking your office-supply vendor.)

2. Have an “Answer Post Business Hours” inbox. If you’re like me, you try to respond to every e-mail that comes in, and fast. Your communication speed probably helped build your company. At some point, you’ll start getting more than you can handle. Congrats. It’s a sign of success. But don’t feel you have to answer every e-mail right away. Have a folder for e-mails called “To Answer Post Business Hours,” and put into it your personal e-mails, e-mails from people seeking advice or a job, or any e-mail you want to respond to at length. Promise yourself that you won’t touch the folder until your creative work is done. That college grad looking for a mentor can wait a day. Your next project can’t.

3. Have a once-a-week meeting with staff members. Set up a weekly meeting with all the senior people at your company, with a strict start time and end time. Get briefed on their activities. Give them advice and counsel, and tell them how you want them to proceed. Keep a list of their agreed-on duties for the next week. And then–this is the most important part–leave them alone until next week. Don’t ask for updates unless it’s urgent.

4. Make your assistant your highest paid staffer. The right assistant can save you hours every day. Every minute saved can be put into new projects and, maybe, just maybe, a moment to relax. Conversely, the wrong assistant can cost you hours a day. Don’t skimp. Get someone with experience. Get someone who is hungry. And get someone who would not work for minimum wage. Your assistant is your sentry. Would the queen of England have a mere intern at her door?

5. Train your No. 2. Finding someone who thinks like you isn’t easy, so when you do, make sure you involve them in every aspect of your business. I follow what I call my “hit by a bus” philosophy. Imagine you got hit by a bus. Would there be someone there to take over the business while you recovered? There should be. Thinking about it this way will force you to mold a person to handle even bigger responsibilities, once again freeing you up to tackle the future.

Most entrepreneurs, innovators, inventors and the like aren’t born business people. They are born to create. The problem is that their business can sometimes get in the way.

So make it your business to not let it.

Ken Davenport is a producer of Broadway and off-Broadway shows whose productions include “Speed the Plow,” Will Ferrell’s “You’re Welcome America,” “Blithe Spirit” and “Altar Boyz” and the revival of “Oleanna,” which will open on Broadway Oct. 11. He has developed a Broadway social networking site, BroadwaySpace.com and has a blog, TheProducersPerspective.com.